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Cases of VOC-21APR-02 have risen by 2,111 since last week. These are still predominantly affecting the North West of England – particularly Bolton – and London. pic.twitter.com/gADvCktEev
These are from ITV News’s science editor, Tom Clarke, on the new India variant figures.
According to my rough calculation that’s a doubling time of 5 days. Cases of the Kent variant took 2 weeks to double in the run-up to the January peak.
So you can see why epidemiologists and the government are very concerned. Important caveats still apply however.
The rise in cases are predominantly in areas where Covid rates were high previously (and vaccination rates a bit lower than average). If the new variant was suddenly “seeded” into them it could cause temporary surge.
All eyes are on other outbreak areas to see if growth rates there are similar — will be earliest sign that the shocking speed of growth we’re seeing is due to with the virus itself— or the circumstances it finds itself in.
Read the original article at The Guardian