CDC Novel Coronavirus
COVID-19 Forecasts: Cases
University of Virginiaexternal icon
Note: This group provided county-level forecasts in the state of Virginia
Model name: UVA
Intervention assumptions: There are two different assumptions influencing this ensemble model. Two of the three models assume that the effects of interventions are reflected in the observed data and will continue going forward, while the third model assumes that interventions will change in the future.
Methods: This forecast is an ensemble of three different models: An auto-regressive model, a machine learning (long short-memory) model, and a SEIR model.
Read the original article at Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)