Stocks shrug off US unrest, China tensions amid easing of Covid-19 lockdowns – as it happened
European shares followed suit, with the German Dax surging to its highest level in three months
Global oil prices also climbed to three month highs on Tuesday ahead of talks between the Opec oil cartel and its allies over plans to extend an historic oil supply deal and shore up market prices
That’s all from us today. Join us again from 8am tomorrow morning. Stay safe –KM
Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, says the UK government’s support schemes should be enough to help keep businesses from going bust…for now.
Samuel Tombs (@samueltombs)
BoE/HMT schemes have now funnelled £49.6B to companies—equal to 2.5% of annual GDP—via state-guarenteed bank loans and commercial paper purchases. This wall of cash should keep a lid on insolvencies for now. Nonetheless, a moment of truth is coming for many firms in the autumn. pic.twitter.com/GU966oIu6s
US stocks are now mixed, after the Nasdaq turned negative and fell 0.19%.
Gains are nowhere near what is being logged across Europe, but here’s how Wall Street is trading at the open:
S&P 500 is up 0.3%
Dow is up 0.5%
Nasdaq is up 0.1%
The chair of the Treasury Select Committee, Conservative MP Mel Stride, says he is concerned by the delay of the investigation into how collapsed mini-bond issuer London Capital & Finance was regulated by the FCA.
Treasury Committee (@CommonsTreasury)
Chair @MelJStride has said that the delay in the investigation into London Capital and Finance is “particularly concerning”, and that “we will want to get to the bottom of what role the FCA had in the delay”.
Dame Elizabeth Gloster said in her letter released today that she faced delays in receiving documents and information from the FCA in recent month, which set back interviews originaally planned for December/January until March 2020.
She added home working as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic had also thrown up difficulties in interviewing FCA staff promptly from March.
However, she was quick to stress that she wasn’t suggesting it was intentional or the result of “deliberate non-cooperation” on the part of the FCA.
Futures are pointing to a positive start on Wall Street:
S&P 500 futures are up nearly 0.3%
Dow futures are up 0.4%
Nasdaq futures are up 0.1%
Lloyds Banking Group had confirmed that it will extend its freeze on job cuts until at least October due to the pandemic.
Lloyds originally halted plans for around 780 job cuts back in March, with the decision meant to be reviewed on a monthly basis from the end of May. But it’s understood that a decision was taken last week to set a longer timeline.
A Lloyds Banking Group spokesperson said:
We have made a number of commitments to our colleagues to address their concerns during the current crisis, including continuing to pay them in full regardless of their working circumstances.
We have also pledged that any colleague placed on notice of redundancy will not leave the group before October. We will continue to review these and other commitments to our colleagues on an ongoing basis.
While workers in travel and leisure have been on edge about their employment prospects during the Covid-19 crisis, the pandemic has had the opposite effect on banks.
Lenders like Lloyds have seen their workload increase since March, as governments put them on the frontline of coronavirus rescue plans. More staff have been needed to arrange mortgage and credit card holidays and distribute government-backed loans.
Global oil prices climbed to three month highs on Tuesday ahead of talks between the Opec oil cartel and its allies over plans to extend an historic oil supply deal and shore up market prices,our energy correspondent Jillian Ambrose writes.
Oil ministers from the world’s most powerful oil producing countries will join a video call on Thursday to discuss plans to keep cutting 9.7 million barrels of oil a day through the summer.
The record oil production curbs were put in place from April to help steady the oversupplied market after the impact of the coronavirus lockdown slashed global oil demand to 25 year lows.
The original oil supply deal, the largest agreement ever struck between the group of oil giants, helped double the global oil price which fell to 21-year lows of about $16 a barrel last month.
The price of Brent crude, the international oil price benchmark, rose by almost $1 to $39.29 a barrel on Tuesday while US oil, or the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, climbed by 88 cents, to $36.32 a barrel.
Brent crude prices are at 3-month highs. Photograph: Tail1/Refinitiv
Oil traders believe a deal to extend the production cuts has the support of most Opec and non-Opec countries, and is likely following Thursday’s virtual meeting.
Iraq’s acting oil minister Ali Abdul Ameer Allawi said on Twitter that the country plans to deepen its planned oil production cuts, and remains committed to the so-called Opec+ deal despite falling short of its quota last month.
French flight crew have accused Ryanair of blackmailing them into taking pay cuts or losing their jobs.
The Irish airline, which has warned it may cut up to 3,000 jobs in Europe, told staff in France it was imposing 20% salary cuts for flight crew and 10% for attendants. Those who are already on legal minimum wages will have their hours reduced.
Staff unions have accused the company of “redundancy blackmail” and acting like cowboys.
According to confidential documents seen by French media, Ryanair wrote to staff proposing wage cuts take effect from 1 July 2020. The lower wages would be progressively increased over the five years so flight crew would be paid their full current salaries by July 2025.
The loss of salary works out at an average 12% over five years for the pilots. Ryanair also proposed to pay new pilots and co-pilots the lower wages.
The Syndicat National des Pilots de Ligne said it had been given a maximum of five days to respond to the ultimatum. If not, it said the company warned it would have “no choice” but to lay off 29% of its pilots and 27% of co-pilots in France.
Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey is set to be interviewed within weeks as part of the investigation into the potential regulatory shortfalls linked to the demise of London Capital & Finance.
A photo of Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey. Photograph: Tolga Akmen/PA
We already knew Bailey would be questioned, but this confirms the timeline.
In an update released by Dame Elizabeth Gloster, who is conducting the independent investigation, she confirmed that “senior employee interviews (including, for the avoidance of doubt, Mr Andrew Bailey)“ would “take place during the first half of June 2020.”
However, it was part of a wider notice that the report would not be completed until 30 September. It was originally expected within 12 months of Gloster’s appointment by the government, which would have been 10 July.
The beleaguered investment company collapsed in early 2019, owing money to thousands of customers who had bought controversial mini-bonds from LC&F.
The firm promised stellar returns to investors of up to 8% a year, but t little of the money went into safe interest-bearing investments, and was instead funnelled into speculative property developments, oil exploration in the Faroe Islands and even a helicopter bought for a company controlled by LC&F.
Some customers claim they were misled, including by the Financial Conduct Authority, over whether their investments were protected by the regulator. The City regulator’s enforcement team was also warned three years ago about the company but failed to act.
Time for a quick market update. European stock markets have all extended their gains after a positive start at the open.
Germany is leading the pack, up 3.9% at around 12,030 points. That pushes it to levels not seen since early March, when stock markets started to react to the pandemic’s migration to Europe.
A chart showing the German Dax reaching levels not seen since early March. Photograph: Tail1/Refinitiv
Here’s how the rest of Europe is looking:
Europe’s major indices are all trading in positive territory. Photograph: Tail1/Refinitiv
Qatar Airways chief executive Akbar Al Baker has been speaking to Reuters and said that it will keep the airline’s fleet of A380s grounded until mid to late 2021.
He also said that the airline may end up laying off around less than 20% of group staff and it wasn’t clear when the airline would return to profitability due to the pandemic.
Problems are clearly being thrown up by its agreements with manufacturers, with the airline’s boss saying it is in talks with both Airbus and Boeing to defer all pending aircraft deliveries. He also claims the airline won’t do any future business with manufacturers that make it hard to delay deliveries.
Qatar Airways is already on track to sell the five Boeing 737 Max aircraft that have already been delivered.
Heavily indebted shopping centre owner Intu Properties is forecasting it will receive over a third (37%) less rental income this year than last from the retailers which rent space in its centres,my colleague Joanna Partridge writes.
The owner of Manchester’s Trafford Centre and Lakeside in Essex thinks it will collect £310m in rent in 2020, compared with £492m in 2020.
Intu also predicts it will end 2020 with just £24m cash, having started with £82m, although this is also dependent on its lenders waiving some covenants.
Despite this forecast, the company’s shares rose by 93% at one point on Tuesday morning, to almost 11p, although they are still trading 90% lower than they did a year ago
P&O Cruises has scrapped all sailings until 15 October due to coronavirus, writing off the summer season,our transport correspondent Gwyn Topham writes.
The leading British cruise line, part of the Carnival group, had previously announced a pause in operations until the end of July, as the battered industry looks to find ways of operating in a post-pandemic world.
P&O said it was working with public health bodies in the UK and US to enhance health and safety protocols.
P&O Cruises president Paul Ludlow said:
As a business our operational focus is not “when can we resume sailing?” but is instead “how can we develop a comprehensive restart protocol that will keep everyone on board, our crew and guests, safe and well and still give our guests an amazing holiday?
The cruise line said it would give cancelled passengers a voucher worth 125% of the original booking, and “wanted to apologise once again to those guests who wait for refunds, particularly at a time of financial constraints”.
P&O is the first in the worldwide group to extend its operational “pause” into autumn, with most still suspended as far as mid- July.
All lines are searching for ways to ensure safe passage on ships and restore public confidence. Cruises were notorious for outbreaks of bugs such as norovirus, even before the current pandemic saw passengers isolated in cabins offshore.
The Treasury has also released the latest figures around the job furlough scheme this morning, as succinctly summarised by BBC Scotland’s business and economy editor:
Douglas Fraser✒️🎥🎙 (@BBCDouglasF)
Latest stats for 31 May for furlough/Job Retention Scheme:
8.7m UK people furloughed 1.1m employers £17.5bn cost so far
Self employed Income Support Scheme: 2.5m applicants Paid out: £7.2bn But only reaching half of self-employed people.
Global factory production fell for the fourth straight month, but PMI data showed there was a softer contraction in output in May compared to a month earlier.
That reading came in at 42.4 in May, up from 39.6 in April.
The declines in output were widespread across the sector, with substantial drops across the consumer, intermediate and investment goods sub-industries, the report said.
IHS Markit PMI™ (@IHSMarkitPMI)
Global manufacturing output fell for a fourth successive months in May, according to #PMI. While further easing of lockdown measures should help producers globally, weak demand hints that recoveries could be frustratingly subdued in months ahead. Read more t.co/lyagXQGQuppic.twitter.com/Xe2P1h1vI3
It’s worth noting that China was the only country to report any output in May, and even then production was low.
Still, most countries, aside from Japan and Australia, saw a smaller rate of decline over the month.
China was the only country to record factory output in May. Photograph: IHS Markit
Despite the recent spike in business borrowing through government-backed loan schemes, we’ll have to wait another month for that to be reflected in the Bank of England data.
Private businesses borrowed “little extra” from banks in April, according to the BoE.
SMEs drew down around £300m on a net basis, which was similar to March. Annual borrowing also grew just 1.2%, in line with the growth rate tracked since mid-2019.
Large businesses meanwhile borrowed £12.9bn in April, but that is down from £32.4bn a month earlier. It means the annual growth rate of borrowing rose to 15.4%, much stronger than the 5% rate logged in late 2019.
When looking at both bank loans and funds raised on financial markets (through bonds, commercial paper or equity), UK firms raised a total of £16.3bn.